The largest (raw) cotton trader told an audience in Dubai today he thinks cotton futures can top $1.00 a pound within a decade as fashion trends shift back to natural fibers. Cotton futures were up seven-tenths of .01 cent today in New York, hovering just above the .61 cent support level for the last week.
Synthetic fibers have taken shares away from cotton and natural fibers recently, but this trend is waning with cotton demand forecasted at 3.7% growth annually. USDA data, however, showed cotton demand in the 2013-14 marketing year which ended July 31st climbing 1.9%.
Kevin Riordan, director of research at Capital Trading Group in Chicago, shared his insight regarding the current cotton futures situation by stating, “The long term trends in cotton (futures) demand suggests an increase in demand. So while over near term cotton prices will likely go lower to clear our excess inventories, (but) over the long haul cotton (futures) prices should work their way back up towards $1.00 a pound.”
Cotton futures trend is down with no bottom yet in sight. It appears cotton futures is poised for a relief rally, but I am still looking to be short this market with the mid-50’s the first target area.
ALL COMMENTARY IS CONSIDERED OPINION & VIEWS FROM THE AUTHOR AND NOT A SOLICITATION OF ANY SECURITIES. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY INTERESTS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION.